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5 min read National Report

Outbreak Outlook - May 10

Flu, Covid-19 and RSV all quiet. Updates on the hantavirus outbreak.

Outbreak Outlook - May 10
Cliff Walk at Pourville by Monet (1882). From Art Institute of Chicago.

Force of Infection is now on the summer schedule, meaning most national Outbreak Outlook updates are only available to paid subscribers. However, we are making today's version freely available given widespread interest in the hantavirus outbreak. The winter schedule, including the free national version, will resume in October. To continue receiving reports during the summer, please upgrade to paid.

Influenza-like illness

We are well into the off-season. Trips to the doctor for fever and cough or sore throat (known as influenza-like illness, or ILI) are at 1.8%.

At the regional level, the Midwest reports the lowest levels of ILI (down to 0.9%), while the West is also declining but remains slightly higher than the national average at 2.2%.

Severe illness is also trending down. Flu-related hospitalizations remain low at 0.3%, while emergency department (ED) visits for influenza-like illness are at 0.4%. Progress in the West is slightly slower (0.7%), primarily because ED visits in Hawaii are stuck at 2%, but still a noticeable improvement from last week (2.3%). All other states in the Western region are below 1%. 

By age groups

Activity across all age groups continues to level out now that flu season is over. Infants and children 0-4 years have decreased one additional notch to 5.8%, while young people ages 5 to 24 years are flat at 2.8%. Three influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported this week (reflecting events that happened earlier in the season) for a total of 158 deaths this season. Activity in adults is lower than 2%, with activity in the 65+ age group below 1%.

Covid-19

Covid-19 is still quiet. Wastewater concentration is low and stable across the country. The South continues to have a bit wastewater concentration compared to other regions, but it is declining. Trips to the emergency department are very low nationally.

Hospitalization rates for Covid-19 are also declining, now 0.3 per 100,000 population, down from 0.5. The Northeast had a slight uptick in hospitalizations this past week to 0.7, primarily driven by increases in Connecticut and New York. However, ED visits look fine in those states (show in plot), so I'm not reading too much into it.

RSV

RSV activity has peaked and is trending down in all regions. Emergency department visits for RSV are very low at 0.1%, with the Midwest slightly higher at 0.2%. In that region, North Dakota and South Dakota are registering slightly higher emergency department visits for RSV than other states.

Stomach Bugs

Rotavirus is a highly contagious virus that causes vomiting and diarrhea and is especially dangerous for babies and young children. Rotavirus test positivity continues to be high across the country at 5.9%. While most regions have seen a decline in test positivity over the last two weeks, the Western region continues to climb. A vaccine is available for infants, however doctors worry that declining vaccination rates could lead to more severe illness, especially in young children. The best preventive measures are handwashing, cleaning surfaces and staying home when ill. 

Norovirus, another stomach bug, is also elevated in the West and South. Test positivity there is fairly high and rising. The other regions of the country are in better shape, with low and stable test positivty.

Food Recalls

The following foods are being recalled because they are contaminated and can pose a health risk to you and your family. Please check your cupboards and throw out any of these items:

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