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5 min read National Report

Outbreak Outlook - National - Nov 4

Covid and ILI remain low, but norovirus is going around.

Outbreak Outlook - National - Nov 4

Respiratory Diseases

Influenza-like illness

Outpatient visits for influenza-like illness remain quite low at 2.2%. However, numbers are creeping up. The flu season threshold is 3%, which is likely still several weeks away. For comparison, at this time last year, rates were at 2.7% and we were just a week away from crossing the threshold.

Parents, beware. Last week, doctor visits for fever, cough, or sore throat spiked among kids 0-4, jumping from 6.6% to 7.1%. Kids aged 5-24 also saw an increase, from 3.5% to 3.9%. All older age groups remain under 2%.

All states report minimal or low outpatient activity, with the exception of Washington, D.C. at moderate. The Southern region will likely be the first to tip over into flu season, as activity is highest there right now (but still low).

I got my flu shot last week. If you haven’t gotten yours yet, now is a good time.


COVID-19

The lull in Covid-19 cases continues. Wastewater activity is low nationally, with all four regions of the country reporting minimal or low activity. The Midwest has seen a slight rebound lately, but it’s too soon to call it a trend, as numbers do jump around.

Wastewater concentration of SARS-CoV-2 by region.

Visits to the emergency department due to Covid-19 are minimal at 0.6% of all ED visits nationally, with no significant changes in the past week. Hospitalizations also declined again, to a low 1.4 hospitalizations per 100,000 population. This is close to the lowest it has been all year.


RSV & Other Bugs

RSV: Wastewater concentration is minimal. Not much activity happening yet — I hope it stays like this.

Wastewater concentration of RSV by region.

Other bugs: Some common causes of respiratory illness, with cold and flu-like symptoms, continue to rise.


Stomach Bugs

Norovirus is high and increasing right now. Nationally, test positivity is at nearly 12%. To put this in context, the peak last year was 13.6%. Rates are particularly high in the Southern region.

Source: CDC

A reminder as cases increase: norovirus causes stomach pains, diarrhea, and vomiting. It is extremely transmissible via bodily fluids and through contaminated surfaces, food, and water.


Food recalls

The following foods are being recalled because they are contaminated. Please check your cupboards and throw out any of these items:

New:

Previously reported:


In other news


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Me with Washington Post journalist (and Substack author) Dan Diamond at Politics and Prose.