Skip to content
4 min read National Report

Outbreak Outlook - Nov 15

Flu is still rising in all four regions, far ahead of last season. The South and West lead, and children have the highest ED visit rates. Covid-19 wastewater is up, but hospitals are steady. RSV is rising on schedule.

In Texas, flu is now behind 13% of emergency room visits for children ages 5 to 11. In Pennsylvania, the eastern half of the state is seeing more flu than the west. That's the kind of detail in regional editions. Try them free for 7 days, then get any or all four regions for $5 a month or $60 a year. Cancel online anytime.

Start a free trial

Influenza-like illness

Although it is only mid-November, we are more than two months into this very early flu season. Activity is still rising in all four regions of the country.

Test positivity continues to climb. At the national level, it rose from 10.1% to 11.3%, compared with less than 2% during the same week last year. The South and West are about tied, both around 15.5%.

Outpatient influenza-like illness (ILI) increased from 2.8% to 3.2%, the highest for this week since 2022. The South and West are still in the lead, at 3.9% and 3.8%. The Midwest remains the quietest region, at 1.5%, but activity is rising there, too.

Indicators of more severe illness are rising as well. Flu now accounts for 2.2% of emergency department visits, up from 1.7%. During the same week last year it was 0.4%. Hospital admissions rose for the thirteenth week in a row, and adults 75 and older have by far the highest rate.

Activity is increasing quickly in young children. Flu accounts for 6.9% of emergency department visits among children ages 1 to 4, up from 5.3%, and 6.1% among school-age children, up from 4.9%. Among adults 65 and older it’s 1.2%. However, do remember that older adults are at the highest risk of hospitalization.

COVID-19

Covid-19 wastewater levels moved from the moderate to high category in the Northeast, South and West this week. However, clinical indicators haven't moved much yet, so I'm still watching and waiting. ED visits are flat at 0.5%, and hospital admissions stayed about the same, at 1.3 per 100,000. The Midwest has the lowest activity.

Adults 75 and older still have by far the highest hospitalization rate, at 8.2 per 100,000, about three times that of adults 65 to 74. Among infants under 1, Covid-19 accounts for 1.6% of ED visits, compared with 1.0% at this point last year.

RSV

RSV activity is still rising, now accounting for 1.2% of ED visits among both infants under 1 and children ages 1 to 4. Hospital admissions have risen for nine straight weeks and are about level with this time last year. More than half of RSV hospitalizations are in children under 5.

The South is still furthest along, with an under-5 admission rate of 5.7 per 100,000. The Midwest and West are starting to see increases as well. Under-5 admissions roughly doubled in both regions this week, to 2.1 and 1.6 per 100,000.

Food Recalls

New:

Previously Reported:

In Other News


Have questions or comments? Reach us at support@forceofinfection.com.