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5 min read National Report

Outbreak Outlook

Summer edition

Outbreak Outlook

Summer Plans: As summer approaches and data on respiratory diseases dwindles, I am moving to my off-season schedule. For the summer months, I’ll be combining weekly updates into a single report for paid subscribers. Expect these updates to be less detailed until the fall, at which point I will return to my normal publishing schedule, including a free national version. Free subscribers will continue to receive other essays and posts during the summer months, but I won’t be posting as often.


ILI

As expected for the summer months, influenza activity is very low across the country. Outpatient visits for influenza-like illness remain low - with nearly every state reporting percentages that reflect off-season expectations.

Source: CDC

As noted last week, hospitalization data are now coming from a subset of 14 states. The story looks pretty similar across all of them - very few people (<0.8 per 100,000 population) are being hospitalized for influenza. Several states - Ohio, North Carolina, New Mexico, and Connecticut - report a rate of 0. This, of course, does not necessarily mean that there were not any hospitalizations for influenza but that it is such a small number that, when put into a rate of per 100,000 population it appears as 0.


COVID-19

Covid-19 activity remains minimal across the country, with no notable variations across regions.

Wastewater data continues to show minimal activity nationally, and within each of the four regions. There was a very small uptick in the West this past week - here’s hoping that doesn’t turn into a trend.

Source: CDC

Emergency department visits are very low across the United States - with all states reporting that fewer than 1.5% of visits to the ED were for Covid-19 (note: Oklahoma, Minnesota and Missouri had insufficient data). As noted last week, Covid-19 hospitalization data are now coming from a subset of 13 states. In the South, hospitalization rates for Covid-19 are very low, with 0.8 or fewer hospitalizations per 100,000 population. This sample suggests that very few people are being hospitalized for Covid-19, with most reporting fewer than 1 hospitalization per 100,000 population. It ranges from 0.2 in Colorado and Tennessee to 1.4 in Connecticut.


Stomach Bugs

Norovirus activity is finally coming down, though CDC changed its noro dashboard so I’m a little turned around. Test positivity at the national level is setting at 8%, down from a recent high of 13-14%. Activity should continue to fall through the summertime, but I’d still put it in the moderate category for now. Test positivity is highest in the Midwest, at around 9%. The other three regions are all around 7%.


Food recalls

The following foods are being recalled because they are contaminated. Please check your cupboards and throw out any of these items:

New

Previously reported:


In other news

white flower in macro shot
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