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4 min read National Report

Outbreak Outlook - National - October 2

Outbreak Outlook - National - October 2

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Respiratory diseases

Influenza-like illness

Influenza-like illness has been hovering around 2% for several weeks now. This week, around 2.1% of visits to the doctor’s office were for fever and cough or sore throat. This level is below the threshold of 2.5% that marks the start of flu season, so we’re in a pretty good place for now.

At the national level, the littlest kiddos are still the most heavily affected by ILI. Nearly 7% of visits to the doctor’s office were for ILI symptoms among kids ages 0-4, up from a recent low of 4%. Older kids, ages 5-24, are faring better at 3.2%. Adult age groups are all less than 2%.

Most of the country is categorized as having either “low” or “minimal” levels of ILI activity. There are three exceptions. The District of Columbia, New York City, and North Mariana Islands are all registering as “high.” Of those, only DC has detailed information available (since the flu season hasn't officially started yet). ILI activity in DC is currently at 5%, meaning 5% of visits to the doctor are for fever and cough or sore throat.


Covid-19

The number of new Covid-19 hospitalizations fell this week, which suggests that the summer wave has peaked in most regions of the country. Improvements are most pronounced in the Southern region, which has clearly peaked and is now several weeks into a decline. I expect that the other regions are not far behind. Wastewater concentration has also been either plateauing or falling, depending on the region. I think these indicators are all good news for relief from this summer’s uptick.

Don’t forget that the new Covid-19 vaccine is now widely available, and you can get four free at-home tests from covid.gov/tests. I ordered my tests last week and they have yet to arrive, so delivery might take some time.


RSV

RSV activity continues to pick up, reaching 4.1%, up from 1.3% in mid-July. Test positivity has been increasing for over a month now, and may continue to rise through winter. The virus usually becomes active in the autumn months, ahead of influenza, so it’s more or less on schedule. On the bright side, current activity is below what we saw this time last year during the start of the tripledemic.

This is the first year that RSV shots are available for older adults, infants, and pregnant women, so I hope the availability of these products helps reduce severe illness among these vulnerable groups.


Others

All the other respiratory virus that I keep an eye on — seasonal coronavirus, human metapneumovirus, parainfluenza virus, and adenovirus —look good. Rhinovirus/enterovirus, one cause of the common cold, is high though, so expect stuffy noses.


Stomach bugs

Norovirus

Norovirus activity has been fluctuating for several weeks now, with a few spikes during the summer months. Recent test positivity stands at around 6% at the national level, with a significant portion of this increase attributed to heightened activity in the Midwest. Norovirus is usually most active through the winter months, but does not peak until early spring.


Food recalls

The following foods are being recalled because they are contaminated. Please check your cupboards and throw out any of these items:

New this week:

Previously reported:


In Other News

lake sorrounded by trees
Photo by Ricardo Gomez Angel on Unsplash